<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Hong Kong/China M&A/Events]]></title><description><![CDATA[A read across of firm, indicative, and rumoured proposals/events in Hong Kong]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GHnX!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9937ddaa-d869-4822-928e-5808c000a535_184x184.png</url><title>Hong Kong/China M&amp;A/Events</title><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 17:37:30 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Quiddity Investment Advisors]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[quiddityresearch@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[quiddityresearch@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[quiddityresearch@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[quiddityresearch@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Kingboard (148 HK) Places Out More Shares In Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK)]]></title><description><![CDATA[In StubWorld: Big Moves In &#8220;Kings&#8221;, I mused, given 66.62%-held Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK)&#8216;s meteoric price gain, Kingboard (148 HK) may seek another placement.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/kingboard-148-hk-places-out-more</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/kingboard-148-hk-places-out-more</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 00:58:31 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/19f878fe-8af5-4d98-ba2a-db641ca0b610_447x447.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>In <em><strong><a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/stubworld-big-moves-in-kings?r=2j591k">StubWorld: Big Moves In &#8220;Kings&#8221;</a></strong></em>, I mused, given 66.62%-held <strong>Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK)</strong>&#8216;s meteoric price gain, <strong>Kingboard (148 HK)</strong> may seek <em><strong>another </strong></em>placement. And so it has.</p></li><li><p>Kingboard is placing out 155mn shares in Laminates, or 4.92% of shares out, at HK$76/share, a 11.5% discount to last close, raising HK$11.8bn. This placement reduces Kingboard&#8217;s stake to 61.7%.</p></li><li><p>This is Kingboard&#8217;s second placement in 2026 after it sold 130mn shares (4.15% of shares out) in Laminates back on the 18th March 2026, pocketing HK$2.72n</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/kingboard-148-hk-places-out-more">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[CR Power (836 HK): Profit And Sector Dip Clouds Clean Energy Spin-Off]]></title><description><![CDATA[On the 15th May 2026, the CSRC approved SOE-backed power play China Resources Power (836 HK)&#8216;s A-share listing of its renewable energy unit, China Resources New Energy Group (CRNE).]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/cr-power-836-hk-profit-and-sector</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/cr-power-836-hk-profit-and-sector</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 02:48:01 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8f421276-e031-483f-8a23-70944498b81b_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>On the 15th May 2026, the CSRC approved SOE-backed power play <strong>China Resources Power (836 HK)</strong>&#8216;s A-share listing of its renewable energy unit, China Resources New Energy Group (CRNE).</p></li><li><p>CRNE&#8217;s prospectus has now been lodged, with a tentative listing late June/early July.</p></li><li><p>CRNE&#8217;s 1Q26 profit was down 28%, with a forecast drop of at least 19% in 1H26E. CRNE&#8217;s peer basket is down 21% in the past month. CRP is down 6%.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>Forward guidance for CRNE is not optimum.</p></li><li><p>There&#8217;s still material upside here; however, what holding company discount is applicable?</p></li><li><p>Amid the Mideast conflict, CRP/CRNE - and the peer basket - are not offering the valuation arbitrage I previously anticipated.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>I&#8217;m still bullish here. CRP&#8217;s metrics are not demanding versus peers. But my conviction has been tempered.</strong></em></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/cr-power-836-hk-profit-and-sector">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Con Aero Tech (232 HK): Q&A With The Other FA]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back on the 5th June, SOE-backed plane engine maker Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)&#8216;s entered into an SPA to sell its core business, potentially leading to a substantial cash distribution.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-q-and-a-with-b1e</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-q-and-a-with-b1e</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 05:30:01 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4f7f6a73-421a-4a7b-a971-f8e1401d362d_341x148.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back on the 5th June, SOE-backed plane engine maker <strong>Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)</strong>&#8216;s entered into an SPA to sell its core business, potentially leading to a substantial cash distribution.</p></li><li><p>In<em><strong><a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-q-and-a-with?r=2j591k"> Con Aero Tech (232 HK): Q&amp;A With The FA</a></strong></em>, I discussed my one-on-one with the FA to the Purchaser.</p></li><li><p>In this insight, I discuss my one-on-one with the FA to the Seller - or Con Aero Tech.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>This insight specifically discusses the Q&amp;A with the FA to Con Aero Tech. The Q&amp;A transcript below is not verbatim.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Buy here or below, assuming the low-end dividend payment in Oct/Nov (my estimate).</p></li><li><p>I <em><strong>would </strong></em>include the dividend from the property sale, which <em><strong>should </strong></em>be distributed shortly after the SPA distribution.</p></li><li><p>I would not factor in any winding up dividend, which is less known/assured.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-q-and-a-with-b1e">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Swire Pac (19 HK) Further Trims Cathay Exposure]]></title><description><![CDATA[Swire Pacific (19 HK) announced plans to raise HK$4.7bn via the issuance of bonds exchangeable into shares of Cathay Pacific (293 HK).]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/swire-pac-19-hk-further-trims-cathay</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/swire-pac-19-hk-further-trims-cathay</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 02:51:34 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8e630385-d5d5-4bb1-b6f8-889700d19b32_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p><strong>Swire Pacific (19 HK)</strong> announced plans to raise HK$4.7bn via the issuance of bonds exchangeable into shares of <strong>Cathay Pacific (293 HK)</strong>.</p></li><li><p>The zero-coupon bonds can be converted into ~356.6mn Cathay Pacific, ~5.9% of shares out. The initial exchange price is HK$13.18/Cathay share, a 2.9% premium to last close.</p></li><li><p>This development follows Swire&#8217;s announcement in March this year it sold 153.05mn shares in Cathay at HK$11.74/share, raising HK$1.8bn for working capital.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>At 0.34x forward P/B, Swire Pac remains cheap. but elevated on a discount to NAV and implied stub basis.</p></li><li><p>I&#8217;m disinclined to set up the stub here.</p></li><li><p>I might be inclined to simply go outright long in Swire Pac here; but it&#8217;s not a strong conviction trade.</p></li><li><p>I&#8217;d be disinclined to buy Cathay.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>This insight is labelled bullish as I&#8217;m not bearish Swire Pac here.</strong></em></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/swire-pac-19-hk-further-trims-cathay">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[StubWorld: Big Moves In "Kings"]]></title><description><![CDATA[Yesterday, Kingboard (148 HK) gained 25% and ~67%-held Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK) 13%.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/stubworld-big-moves-in-kings</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/stubworld-big-moves-in-kings</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 01:05:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/febf8f7a-8a71-4efa-8a09-7777957fe30e_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Yesterday, <strong>Kingboard (148 HK)</strong> gained 25% and ~67%-held <strong>Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK)</strong> 13%. Unrelated, <strong>Kingsoft (3888 HK)</strong> gained ~10% and 51.4%-held <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kingsoft-office-softwa">Beijing Kingsoft Office Software (688111 CH)</a></strong> just 0.9%.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/stubworld-big-moves-in-kings">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Con Aero Tech (232 HK): Q&A With The FA]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back on the 5th June, SOE-backed Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)&#8216;s entered into an SPA to sell its core business, potentially leading to a substantial cash distribution.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-q-and-a-with</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-q-and-a-with</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2026 10:48:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4718ca84-c9a3-4277-b4d4-f58e5447f2c8_341x148.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back on the 5th June, SOE-backed <strong>Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)</strong>&#8216;s entered into an SPA to sell its core business, potentially leading to a substantial cash distribution.</p></li><li><p>The SPA requires reg approvals and a Scheme-like vote. 46.4% of the register is supportive. Separately, additional dividends are expected from the sale of property. And possibly cash on hand.</p></li><li><p>I had a number of questions concerning the transaction - as did many readers. This afternoon I pinned down a one-on-one with the FA to the Purchaser.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>This insight specifically discusses the Q&amp;A with the FA. The Q&amp;A transcript below is not verbatim.</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>I&#8217;ve also liaised with the FA to CAT and waiting on a possible one-on-one call.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>Clean deal.</p></li><li><p>Buy here or below, assuming the low-end dividend payment in Oct/Nov (my estimate).</p></li><li><p>There <em><strong>will </strong></em>be additional dividends from the property sale and winding up; but they are separate to the SPA dividends, and timing is less assured.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-q-and-a-with">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Con Aero Tech (232 HK) Should (Almost) Double At The Bell]]></title><description><![CDATA[After SOE-backed small plane engine maker Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)&#8216;s share price popped on the 26th May, it confirmed a possible sale that could have Takeovers Code implications.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-should-almost</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-should-almost</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2026 01:19:20 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fd396423-cc4e-45da-8d64-f3549fe315b6_341x148.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>After SOE-backed small plane engine maker <strong>Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)</strong>&#8216;s share price popped on the 26th May, it <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2026/0529/2026052900405.pdf">confirmed</a> a possible sale that could have Takeovers Code implications.</p></li><li><p>Late Friday (5th June) CAT <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2026/0605/2026060502794.pdf">confirmed</a> it has entered into an SPA to sell its core business, potentially leading to a large cash distribution (HK$0.419-HK$0.436/share), and subsequent winding up.</p></li><li><p>The SPA requires reg approvals and a Scheme-like vote. 46.4% of the register is supportive. Additional dividends expected from the sale of property. Get involved.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>CAT is relatively illiquid - look away now if this is not your thing.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>This entire construct appears clean.</p></li><li><p>The share price will pop bigly at the bell.</p></li><li><p>Just a question of timing on the payout.</p></li><li><p>I&#8217;d buy up to ~HK$0.40/share, assuming the low-end dividend payment in November.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/con-aero-tech-232-hk-should-almost">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[CK Hutch (1 HK): Assets Sales And Listings Abound. This Is A Buy]]></title><description><![CDATA[Reportedly, CK Hutchison (1 HK) is exploring a dual-listing of AS Watson (Hong Kong & London) in the second half of this year.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ck-hutch-1-hk-assets-sales-and-listings</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ck-hutch-1-hk-assets-sales-and-listings</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 27 May 2026 04:01:35 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4dc2fabb-cd1a-49d8-aa08-6e1c9d107f2c_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Reportedly, <strong>CK Hutchison (1 HK)</strong> is exploring a dual-listing of AS Watson (Hong Kong &amp; London) in the second half of this year.</p></li><li><p>AS Watson reported FY25 revenue and EBITDA of HK$209bn and HK$18.2bn. A US$30bn valuation is touted, or ~13x turns of EBITDA.</p></li><li><p>Elsewhere, CKH is exploring listing its European telcos; talks remain ongoing regarding the sale of ex-China/Panama ports; and potentially merging Park N Shop with <strong>DFI Retail Group (DFI SP)</strong>&#8216;s Wellcome.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>At a ~47% discount to NAV and a forward P/B of 0.46x, CKH remain inexpensive.</p></li><li><p>Assets sales (ports, telcos, utilities, supermarkets) ongoing (and purported); plus possible retail and/or telco listings.</p></li><li><p>Long-term, CKH remains a buy.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>This insight is bullish - from a long-term investment point of view.</strong></em></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ck-hutch-1-hk-assets-sales-and-listings">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[I-Med: Jardine Matheson's Big Push Into Digital Healthcare]]></title><description><![CDATA[Jardine Matheson (JM SP) has agreed to buy a 100% stake in I-MED Radiology Network (I-MED) from Permira for A$3.4bn (US$2.4bn) in an all-cash deal.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/i-med-jardine-mathesons-big-push</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/i-med-jardine-mathesons-big-push</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 25 May 2026 04:34:11 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/651b63ac-6f1e-4fd5-80e5-f12341d2f77b_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p><strong>Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</strong> has agreed to buy a 100% stake in I-MED Radiology Network <strong>(I-MED</strong>) from <strong>Permira</strong> for A$3.4bn (US$2.4bn) in an all-cash deal.</p></li><li><p>The outlay for the largest X-ray and medical scan provider in Australia, backs out 11.5x EBITDA for FY26E (June Y/E), excluding I-MED&#8217;s minority stake in Harrison.ai.</p></li><li><p>The transaction remains &#8220;<em>subject to customary closing conditions including regulatory approvals</em>&#8220; - that should include FIRB - and is &#8220;<em>expected to complete later in 2026</em>&#8220;.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>Matheson has been proactive with <strong>Hongkong Land (HKL SP)</strong> and then <strong>Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)</strong>.</p></li><li><p>I expected more accretion/recycling.</p></li><li><p>This transformative transaction is a bold new direction.</p></li><li><p>I still like Matheson outright.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/i-med-jardine-mathesons-big-push">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[CR Power (836 HK): CSRC Clears Clean Energy Spin-Off]]></title><description><![CDATA[A fortnight after the Shenzhen Stock Exchange approved SOE-backed power play China Resources Power (836 HK) (CRP)&#8217;s A-share listing of its renewable energy unit, CSRC approval is now satisfied.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/cr-power-836-hk-csrc-clears-clean</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/cr-power-836-hk-csrc-clears-clean</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 18 May 2026 01:26:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2fbacd9e-7ead-4ceb-89fd-3d9917c443c3_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>A fortnight after the Shenzhen Stock Exchange approved SOE-backed power play <strong>China Resources Power (836 HK)</strong> (CRP)&#8217;s A-share listing of its renewable energy unit, CSRC approval is now satisfied.</p></li><li><p><strong>The process has taken over three years</strong>. Since that time, CRP&#8217;s earnings and attributable installed capacity, is now evenly split between its thermal and renewable energy segments.</p></li><li><p>With CSRC and SZSE approvals in the bag, the final stretch should move relatively quickly.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/cr-power-836-hk-csrc-clears-clean">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[NWD (17 HK): Edging Towards A Bailout]]></title><description><![CDATA[I don&#8217;t deliberately set out to knock New World Development (17 HK); just that the newsflow/headlines speak volumes.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/nwd-17-hk-edging-towards-a-bailout</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/nwd-17-hk-edging-towards-a-bailout</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2026 01:50:06 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1790db57-8a2c-4790-9f9f-2722dfe91e49_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>I don&#8217;t deliberately set out to knock <strong>New World Development (17 HK)</strong>; just that the newsflow/headlines speak volumes.</p></li><li><p>Apparently, after months of negotiation, Blackstone has walked away from a proposed tie-up with NWD. Reportedly other investors are still in the mix.</p></li><li><p>Any bailout, should one occur, which has been rumoured for, like, forever, is potentially less dilutive at today&#8217;s share price. It&#8217;d still be a bold move to load up here.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade.</strong></p><ul><li><p>I&#8217;d still avoid NWD.</p></li><li><p>There was a time when Beijing might have arranged help for a distressed HK tycoon.</p></li><li><p>Hong Kong developers no longer carry the same clout.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>This insight is labelled bearish as I&#8217;m not at all bullish here.</strong></em></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/nwd-17-hk-edging-towards-a-bailout">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[China Shengmu (1432): Conditional MGO To Launch At Month-End]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back on the 30th October 2025, China Modern Dairy (1117 HK) (CMD) entered into a conditional SPA to acquire a 1.28% in raw milk producer China Shengmu (1432 HK) (CSM).]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/china-shengmu-1432-conditional-mgo</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/china-shengmu-1432-conditional-mgo</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2026 01:08:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/69a9725b-c5bc-47cb-b7e4-ff18a59fea04_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back on the 30th October 2025, <strong>China Modern Dairy (1117 HK)</strong> (CMD) entered into a conditional SPA to acquire a 1.28% in raw milk producer <strong>China Shengmu (1432 HK)</strong> (CSM).</p></li><li><p>As CMD then held 29.99% in CSM, the additional 1.28% clears 30%, obligating CMD to make a conditional Offer for all shares not held. The Offer Price will be A$0.35/share</p></li><li><p>The key SPA condition - SAMR clearance - is now satisfied. SPA completion expected on the 22nd May and Composite Doc dispatch on or before the 29th May.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK) (CSM) is pretty illiquid. Look away now if this is not your bag.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>Trading at a 9.4% gross spread.</p></li><li><p>I don&#8217;t have a strong conviction on the back-end.</p></li><li><p>Still, I&#8217;d be buying here - either for the arb (if you like illiquid arbs), or for the back-end on the assumption takes control of CSM.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/china-shengmu-1432-conditional-mgo">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Guoco (53 HK): Still Deep Value. Still Illiquid]]></title><description><![CDATA[I see Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)&#8216;s implied stub at around a decade low.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/guoco-53-hk-still-deep-value-still</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/guoco-53-hk-still-deep-value-still</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2026 02:42:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a87da185-9020-42c8-9fba-161898493c33_378x133.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>I see <strong>Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)</strong>&#8216;s implied stub at around a decade low. And a trailing P/B of 0.34x, versus the five-year average of 0.4x.</p></li><li><p>~67%-Held <strong>GuocoLand (GUOL SP)</strong> (trading at 0.64x P/B) looks set to privatise ~68%-held <strong>Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK)</strong> at ~0.55x P/B, further adding to Guoco&#8217;s look-through &#8220;cheapness&#8221;.</p></li><li><p>It&#8217;s coming up to eight years since the Quek family last attempted to take Guoco private. I can see the family stepping up here.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>Guoco is super illiquid - look away now if this is not your bag</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Guoco remains a potential privatisation play; and/or a deep value play.</p></li><li><p>I see the implied stub - net of the key listcos - around a decade low.</p></li><li><p>The look-through P/B is just 0.34x.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/guoco-53-hk-still-deep-value-still">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Tian An Medicare (383 HK)'s Partial Offer Doc Now Out]]></title><description><![CDATA[On the 23rd March, hospital/nursing home operator Tian An Medicare (383 HK) announced a small buyback, potentially lifting Tian An China Investment (28 HK)&#8216;s stake to 55% from 51.47%.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/tian-an-medicare-383-hks-partial</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/tian-an-medicare-383-hks-partial</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 05:39:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bdaafe8c-27f7-4e60-8486-463eac7ee9df_299x168.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>On the 23rd March, hospital/nursing home operator <strong>Tian An Medicare (383 HK)</strong> announced a small buyback, potentially lifting <strong>Tian An China Investment (28 HK)</strong>&#8216;s stake to 55% from 51.47%.</p></li><li><p>The buyback is for 70mn shares or 6.48% of shares out, at HK$1.10/share, a 15.79% premium to last close. <strong>IF</strong> key shareholders do not tender, pro-ration <em>could</em> be &gt;95%.</p></li><li><p><a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2026/0427/2026042702170.pdf">The Offer Doc is now out</a>. The SGM (effectively a formality) will be held on the 18th May. The IFA says &#8220;<em>fair and reasonable</em>&#8220;.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>Tian An Medicare is illiquid. Look away now if this is not your bag.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>I&#8217;d buy Tian An Medicare, either for the back-end (if you have a strong opinion); or for what could potentially be a very high pro-ration.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/tian-an-medicare-383-hks-partial">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Ju Teng International (3336 HK): Possible Takeunder, IF An Offer Unfolds]]></title><description><![CDATA[Ju Teng International (3336 HK), a notebook-computer casing maker, is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ju-teng-international-3336-hk-possible</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ju-teng-international-3336-hk-possible</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 07:53:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bbec8d92-0f1b-4d77-9507-bda0caf34658_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p><strong>Ju Teng International (3336 HK)</strong>, a notebook-computer casing maker, is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code.</p></li><li><p>Ju Teng, which hasn&#8217;t returned a profit since FY22, is up 92% since Mar-end, and 40% this week alone, on decent volume. Textbook news leak there. And perhaps short covering.</p></li><li><p>My bet is that the controlling shareholder, the Cheng family, are exiting. This or may, or may not, lead to a MGO/Scheme. IF an Offer unfolds, expect a takeunder.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ju-teng-international-3336-hk-possible">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): What's Up (Or Down To Be Precise)?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back on the 22nd September 2025, SOE-backed Sichuan Changhong Electric Co, Ltd.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/changhong-jiahua-3991-hk-whats-up</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/changhong-jiahua-3991-hk-whats-up</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 01:55:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/172c7c98-cf00-44f5-8b47-71a4703f05ce_232x142.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back on the 22nd September 2025, SOE-backed <strong>Sichuan Changhong Electric Co, Ltd. (600839 CH)</strong> made an Offer, by way of a pre-conditional Scheme, for 60.13%-held <strong>Changhong Jiahua Holdings (3991 HK)</strong></p></li><li><p>Sichuan Changhong, plus provincial bodies,<strong> offered HK$1.223/share</strong>, a 32.93% premium to last close. The Offer Price is final. And optically is fair.</p></li><li><p>City level SASAC has been squared away. Provincial reg clearances outstanding (&amp; tardy), which <em>may</em> be due to governmental personnel changes, and the approval process straddling Chinese New Year.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>Changhong Jiahua Holdings is super illiquid - look away now if this is not your bag.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>My bet is that the reg delays are purely administrative, not any thorny issue.</p></li><li><p>CJ is illiquid. If an arb investor - or investors - opt to kick out, this will push the stock down, as it appears this week.</p></li><li><p>If small, illiquid arbs are your bag, I&#8217;d be taking advantage of the share price weakness here.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/changhong-jiahua-3991-hk-whats-up">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Yancoal (YAL AU) Retraces Post Kestrel Mine Deal]]></title><description><![CDATA[On the 14th April, Yancoal (YAL AU) announced it had entered into a transaction to acquire a majority stake in the Kestrel coal mine, located in Queensland, for &#8220;up to&#8221; US$2.4bn.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/yancoal-yal-au-retraces-post-kestrel</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/yancoal-yal-au-retraces-post-kestrel</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2026 09:12:39 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b33e6c77-2d19-4863-8b35-cf7da7981910_297x170.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>On the 14th April, <strong>Yancoal (YAL AU)</strong> <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260414/pdf/06yh1vf2g4rt14.pdf">announced</a> it had entered into a transaction to acquire a majority stake in the Kestrel coal mine, located in Queensland, for &#8220;up to&#8221; US$2.4bn.</p></li><li><p>Yancoal intends to acquire the 80% stake held by EMR Capital and <strong>Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ)</strong> JV. Mitsui will maintain its 20% stake.</p></li><li><p>80% of Kestrel was previously held by <strong>Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</strong>, and sold for A$2.25bn in 2018. That transaction required FIRB approval. This transaction also requires FIRB signing off.</p></li></ul>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/yancoal-yal-au-retraces-post-kestrel">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[CK Hutch (1 HK): The Optics Are Looking Favourable]]></title><description><![CDATA[CK Hutchison (1 HK)&#8216;s arbitration - with the Panama government AND Maersk - continues, with China&#8217;s full backing, over the (ostensibly) illegal confiscation of the Balboa and Cristobal ports.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ck-hutch-1-hk-the-optics-are-looking</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ck-hutch-1-hk-the-optics-are-looking</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 02:05:58 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/12e0fc13-81af-4fa9-b84d-052b4b2ac643_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p><strong>CK Hutchison (1 HK)</strong>&#8216;s arbitration - with the Panama government AND Maersk - continues, with China&#8217;s full backing, over the (ostensibly) illegal confiscation of the Balboa and Cristobal ports.</p></li><li><p>Elsewhere, ongoing divestments are further stacking CKH&#8217;s cash pile, a development not lost on the three key rating agencies.</p></li><li><p>And CKH&#8217;s 16.7% stake in <strong>Cenovus Energy (CVE US)</strong>, already a strong cashflow generator, is a key standout from the ongoing Iran situation.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>At a ~49% discount to NAV and a forward P/B of 0.40x, CKH remain inexpensive.</p></li><li><p>Long-term, CKH remains a buy.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>This insight is bullish - from a long-term investment point of view.</strong></em></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/ck-hutch-1-hk-the-optics-are-looking">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Hang Lung (10 HK) Is Inexpensive As Dodge & Cox Sells (A Little)]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back in January 2024 HLP offered a scrip dividend option, and HLG has taken full advantage, increasing its stake by 4%.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/hang-lung-10-hk-is-inexpensive-as</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/hang-lung-10-hk-is-inexpensive-as</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 02:01:54 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f05bfe29-9373-477d-a1f7-6c789baf622f_800x533.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back in January 2024 HLP offered a scrip dividend option, and HLG has taken full advantage, increasing its stake by 4%.</p></li><li><p>As HLG adds more HLP, long-term deep value play Dodge &amp; Cox gradually sells HLG. That makes things interesting. And HLG&#8217;s P/B is inexpensive.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>HLG remains dirt cheap at 0.23x P/B - albeit illiquid.</p></li><li><p>Expect HLG to continue to exercise its rights to HLP scrip and chip away at minorities. It does not need the cash.</p></li><li><p>I doubt there is some grand plan afoot - for either HLP or HLG. Dodge &amp; Cox selling HLG does, however, play into the Chan&#8217;s court.</p></li><li><p>I&#8217;d be getting some exposure in HLG.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>This insight is labelled bullish, as I&#8217;m not bearish.</strong></em></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/hang-lung-10-hk-is-inexpensive-as">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK): Signs Of Life In Liquidators’ Auction ]]></title><description><![CDATA[On the 11th September 2025, Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) (EPS) announced that the liquidators for Evergrande (3333 HK) had been fielding non-binding Offers for Evergrande&#8217;s 51.016% stake in EPS.]]></description><link>https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/evergrande-property-services-6666-497</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/evergrande-property-services-6666-497</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2026 02:30:31 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/756e39da-7a54-4856-b86d-b3c75d68d1e9_160x160.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>On the 11th September 2025, <strong>Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</strong> (EPS) <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0911/2025091101410.pdf">announced</a> that the liquidators for <strong>Evergrande (3333 HK)</strong> had been fielding non-binding Offers for Evergrande&#8217;s 51.016% stake in EPS.</p></li><li><p>Final proposals <em>were</em> expected to be submitted by November. Then (pretty much) crickets. FWIW, Evergrande was delisted from the HKEx on the 25th August 2025.</p></li><li><p>Yesterday, the same day Evergrande founder Hui Ka-yan plead guilty to fraud, EPS <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2026/0414/2026041400875.pdf">announced</a> Evergrande has entered into a 30 day exclusivity period with a mystery buyer.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>I wouldn&#8217;t chase it. Metrics are fair with respect to peers.</p></li><li><p>There is no shortage of choices in this space.</p></li><li><p>EPS is up 108% since Evergrande entered liquidation versus 5% for peers.</p></li></ul><p><em>This insight is still labelled bullish as I&#8217;m not bearish here. Challenging to gauge what a possible MGO price may be.</em></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://hk.quiddityresearch.co/p/evergrande-property-services-6666-497">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>